63%Democrats took house and senate in 2026 Midterms96%Friedrich Merz remained Chancellor34%U.S. inflation stayed subdued in September and October63%Democrats won house, California governorship and Texas Senate seat62%Democrats won senate seats in Georgia, Michigan, Texas, Maine and Ohio34%GOP secured twenty-two to twenty-three governorships after 2026 midterms92%Key Middle Eastern sea lanes and airspaces stayed open through October72%Anthropic led AI benchmarks in Mathematics, coding and agents88%NATO and Russia avoided direct clash and mobilization in October77%NVIDIA topped list of world's Largest companies91%US did not announce diesel export ban42%Yashar won Israel election as Likud fell to 20-24 seats

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Edition of Friday, 20 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Wed 21 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Friday, 20 November 2026.

Politics

Democrats took house and senate in 2026 Midterms

The party also captured the Texas Senate seat, completing a Sweep of Congress.

63% certain
lead market 63%next 27%1 venuesettles Wed 4 Nov

On Sunday, Democrats secured majorities in both the house of Representatives and the senate. The results removed the Republican majority that had controlled the house after the 2026 Midterms

This result reversed the earlier expectation that Republicans would retain a majority. With the Democratic win, the Republican majority in the chamber disappeared.

Read the full report

Economics

US did not announce diesel export ban

The United States also kept Russian diesel imports halted by the end of October.

91% certain
lead market 91%next 9%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Nov

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)63%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party92%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep63%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)63%Wed 4 Nov
  6. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party65%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%37%Mon 26 Oct
  10. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  11. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  12. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  13. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar72%Wed 28 Oct
  14. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  15. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  16. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro73%Sun 25 Oct
  17. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes63%Wed 4 Nov
  18. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2442%Wed 28 Oct
  19. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  20. Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 220-23935%Fri 23 Oct
  21. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  22. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes93%Sun 15 Nov
  23. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá: Flavio Bolsonaro72%Mon 26 Oct
  24. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  25. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  26. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA90%Sun 1 Nov
  27. How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?: 22–2334%Wed 4 Nov
  28. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes77%Sat 31 Oct
  29. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  30. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  31. US imports Russian diesel by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  32. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  33. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  34. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  35. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No98%Mon 2 Nov
  36. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  37. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas: Lula59%Mon 26 Oct
  38. Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  39. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  40. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic90%Sun 1 Nov
  41. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará: Lula77%Mon 26 Oct
  42. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  43. Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?: No98%Wed 4 Nov
  44. France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes100%Sat 31 Oct
  46. California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?: No82%Tue 3 Nov
  47. Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?: Flávio Bolsonaro96%Mon 26 Oct
  48. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic89%Sun 1 Nov
  49. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  50. Second-best AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic72%Sat 31 Oct
  51. Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?: 25 bps increase72%Wed 28 Oct
  52. Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?: No72%Sun 1 Nov
  53. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout: 78-80%58%Mon 26 Oct
  54. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No88%Sat 31 Oct
  55. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais: Flavio Bolsonaro92%Mon 26 Oct
  56. Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  57. No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?: No change97%Tue 27 Oct
  58. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?: No73%Sun 1 Nov
  59. Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?: No85%Wed 28 Oct
  60. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 200+35%Fri 23 Oct
  61. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic99%Sat 31 Oct
  62. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  63. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?: No76%Sun 1 Nov
  64. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic92%Sun 1 Nov
  65. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  66. Will Anthropic announce a $400+/month tier before November 2026?: No94%Sat 31 Oct
  67. Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  68. October Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%46%Mon 9 Nov
  69. US Core PCE inflation (year-over-year) — September: 3.10%46%Thu 29 Oct
  70. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  71. Bank of Korea decision in October?: No Change99%Thu 22 Oct
  72. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic92%Sat 31 Oct
  73. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  74. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  75. October Inflation US - Monthly: 0.3%34%Wed 11 Nov
  76. CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 20-3967%Fri 23 Oct
  77. Ted Cruz # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?: 140-15943%Tue 27 Oct
  78. Khamenei # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?: <583%Tue 27 Oct
  79. Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth?: <3.5%51%Tue 27 Oct
  80. Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth?: 2.5% to 3.5%46%Thu 22 Oct
  81. Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars)?: 13.5% to 14.5%55%Tue 27 Oct
  82. Zelenskyy # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?: 80-9967%Tue 27 Oct
  83. Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth?: 6.5% to 8%27%Tue 27 Oct
  84. Fed Decision in October?: No change86%Thu 29 Oct
  85. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot52%Wed 28 Oct
  86. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane67%Sat 31 Oct
  87. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)88%Wed 4 Nov
  88. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes88%Sat 31 Oct
  89. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić70%Sun 25 Oct
  90. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes93%Sat 31 Oct
  91. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  92. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No78%Wed 4 Nov
  93. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  94. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  95. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement94%Wed 4 Nov
  96. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)89%Wed 4 Nov
  97. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)55%Wed 4 Nov
  98. TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 6-9%55%Wed 4 Nov
  99. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  100. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia70%Sun 25 Oct
  101. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google82%Sat 31 Oct
  102. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  103. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  104. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement88%Wed 4 Nov
  105. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  106. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  107. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  108. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate61%Wed 4 Nov
  109. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  110. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  111. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  112. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  113. FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: FC Bayern München77%Wed 21 Oct
  114. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)94%Wed 4 Nov
  115. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sat 31 Oct
  116. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova88%Mon 26 Oct
  117. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  118. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  119. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)82%Wed 4 Nov
  120. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  121. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes81%Wed 4 Nov
  122. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)62%Wed 4 Nov
  123. # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?: 60-80M89%Fri 23 Oct
  124. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  125. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  126. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?: Yes93%Wed 21 Oct
  127. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  128. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers63%Sat 31 Oct
  129. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  130. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)71%Wed 4 Nov
  131. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No97%Fri 20 Nov
  132. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins81%Wed 4 Nov
  133. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No94%Sat 31 Oct
  134. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)74%Wed 4 Nov
  135. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)80%Wed 4 Nov
  136. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change97%Fri 30 Oct
  137. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes70%Tue 3 Nov
  138. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  139. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  140. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  141. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No74%Tue 3 Nov
  142. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No81%Sat 31 Oct
  143. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  144. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes96%Sat 31 Oct
  145. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow66%Tue 27 Oct
  146. Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Iotova 20-30%41%Sun 25 Oct
  147. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No86%Sat 31 Oct
  148. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: 25 bps increase70%Wed 28 Oct
  149. MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner: Jacob Misiorowski95%Thu 12 Nov
  150. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate67%Wed 4 Nov
  151. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  152. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 81%Wed 4 Nov
  153. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  154. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes78%Sat 31 Oct
  155. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  156. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  157. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  158. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No82%Tue 3 Nov
  159. Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  160. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No93%Sun 15 Nov
  161. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No94%Sat 31 Oct
  162. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)92%Wed 4 Nov
  163. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  164. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  165. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  166. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  167. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)76%Wed 4 Nov
  168. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?: No82%Sun 1 Nov
  169. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  170. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  171. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No73%Wed 4 Nov
  172. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19030%Wed 4 Nov
  173. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase92%Thu 5 Nov
  174. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 92%Wed 4 Nov
  175. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)95%Wed 4 Nov
  176. Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate: Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems53%Thu 5 Nov
  177. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change87%Sat 24 Oct
  178. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes69%Wed 4 Nov
  179. Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger: Lilli Tagger100%Wed 28 Oct
  180. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi61%Sat 31 Oct
  181. Will Solana dip to $60 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  182. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate65%Wed 4 Nov
  183. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  184. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  185. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes64%Tue 3 Nov
  186. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No86%Sat 31 Oct
  187. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  188. Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Real Madrid CF80%Wed 21 Oct
  189. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Atlanta Dream58%Sat 31 Oct
  190. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  191. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  192. CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual): Sydney Kamlager-Dove78%Wed 4 Nov
  193. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  194. Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?: No79%Sun 1 Nov
  195. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?: No59%Sun 1 Nov
  196. Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  197. GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round): Republican 6-9%52%Wed 4 Nov
  198. Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?: No99%Fri 6 Nov
  199. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No94%Tue 3 Nov
  201. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  202. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: Maura Healey (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  203. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change97%Fri 30 Oct
  204. Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  205. Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: Yes94%Wed 28 Oct
  206. 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 8-10%27%Wed 4 Nov
  207. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club64%Wed 21 Oct
  208. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  209. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change82%Wed 28 Oct
  210. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe90%Tue 27 Oct
  211. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad: Lula69%Mon 26 Oct
  212. MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year: Adilson Malanda14%Thu 12 Nov
  213. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 199%Sun 25 Oct
  214. Tennessee Senate Election Winner: Bill Hagerty (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  215. Next Premier of British Columbia: Lorne Doerkson86%Sat 24 Oct
  216. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  217. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  218. Oregon Governor Election Winner: Tina Kotek (D)82%Wed 4 Nov
  219. British Columbia General Election Winner: Conservative88%Sat 24 Oct
  220. "Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?: 150 - 160m96%Sat 31 Oct
  221. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  222. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  223. Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sat 31 Oct
  224. Does Claude Opus 5.5 make egregious errors?: Yes77%Wed 21 Oct
  225. Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  226. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes51%Tue 3 Nov
  227. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  228. Bitcoin $87,500 in October 2026?: No70%Sat 31 Oct
  229. Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  230. FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5: Under76%Wed 21 Oct
  231. Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place: Together87%Wed 28 Oct
  232. FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: FC Cincinnati69%Wed 21 Oct
  233. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  234. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  235. Will Democrat Angie Nixon win Miami Dade County in the Florida Senate Election?: No52%Tue 3 Nov
  236. New Mexico Governor Election Winner: Deb Haaland (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  237. Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: Como 190776%Wed 21 Oct
  238. Rhode Island Governor Election Winner: Helena Foulkes (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  239. Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova: Marie Bouzkova62%Wed 28 Oct
  240. Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?: No82%Wed 4 Nov
  241. Chiefs vs. Seahawks: Seahawks61%Mon 26 Oct
  242. Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?: No72%Sun 1 Nov
  243. LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Dplus KIA61%Sat 24 Oct
  244. Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November: No change55%Wed 4 Nov
  245. Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?: No77%Sun 1 Nov
  246. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  247. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?: Yes87%Fri 23 Oct
  248. New Zealand legislative election winner?: National Party49%Sun 8 Nov
  249. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+99%Sun 1 Nov
  250. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?: Yes62%Fri 30 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.