73%Bank of England raised rates by 25 basis points62%Democrats captured both chambers of Congress in 2026 Midterms62%Democrats win eight senate seats, securing majority77%US-Iran ceasefire held through October despite stalled talks90%Key Middle-East airspace and straits remained open through October87%Ukraine failed to re-enter Huliaipole as ceasefire remained absent67%Saudi Arabia launched military operation in Yemen90%Saudi-Houthi ceasefire collapsed as US-Yemen truce held97%Iranian regime remained in power59%OpenAI ranked Second as AI Agent Lab in October 202635%Yashar party won election, Gadi Eizenkot became Prime Minister35%Elon Musk posted most tweets as Trump insulted opponent

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Edition of Thursday, 19 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Tue 20 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Thursday, 19 November 2026.

Economics

Bank of England raised rates by 25 basis points

The Bank of Japan kept its policy unchanged and the Reserve Bank of Australia also left rates steady.

73% certain
lead market 73%next 26%1 venuesettles Wed 4 Nov

The Bank of England raised its Bank Rate by 25 basis points. The Bank of Japan left its policy rate unchanged. The Reserve Bank of Australia also kept its cash rate steady.

The decision was announced on Thursday, 5 November. The 25-basis-point increase was the sole change to policy that day.

Read the full report

Politics

Iranian regime remained in power

The regime survived and Kharg Island stayed under Iranian control.

97% certain
lead market 97%next 3%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Nov

Politics

Mark Sutcliffe won Ottawa Mayoral race

Bryan Paterson was elected mayor of Kingston while Steven Del Duca secured Vaughan's mayoralty.

42% certain
lead market 42%next 39%1 venuesettles Tue 27 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot50%Wed 28 Oct
  2. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party92%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  5. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes85%Sat 31 Oct
  6. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  11. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  12. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  13. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  14. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  15. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar70%Wed 28 Oct
  16. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  17. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  18. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  19. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes77%Wed 4 Nov
  20. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  21. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: <2035%Wed 28 Oct
  22. Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 340-35935%Tue 20 Oct
  23. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  24. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  25. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes97%Sat 31 Oct
  26. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  27. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  28. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No89%Sat 31 Oct
  29. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  30. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase95%Thu 5 Nov
  31. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  32. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?: No81%Sun 1 Nov
  33. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  34. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  35. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  36. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change97%Fri 30 Oct
  37. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  38. Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  39. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe94%Tue 27 Oct
  40. Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November: No change73%Wed 4 Nov
  41. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  42. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?: Yes67%Fri 30 Oct
  43. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI81%Sat 31 Oct
  44. Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 200+57%Tue 20 Oct
  46. Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  47. Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Steven Del Duca97%Tue 27 Oct
  48. Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner: Carolyn Parrish42%Tue 27 Oct
  49. Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Erwin Wiens68%Tue 27 Oct
  50. #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?: OpenAI59%Tue 27 Oct
  51. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 20): Love Is Blind: Boston98%Wed 21 Oct
  52. Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Dorothy McCabe51%Tue 27 Oct
  53. Stratford, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Martin Ritsma68%Tue 27 Oct
  54. Third-best AI Lab end of October?: Meta96%Sat 31 Oct
  55. London, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Josh Morgan82%Tue 27 Oct
  56. Kingston, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Bryan Paterson99%Tue 27 Oct
  57. Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?: Yes97%Tue 27 Oct
  58. Ted Cruz # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 160-17942%Tue 20 Oct
  59. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Doing Life99%Wed 21 Oct
  60. Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: <580%Tue 20 Oct
  61. Zelenskyy # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 80-9955%Tue 20 Oct
  62. CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 20-3967%Fri 23 Oct
  63. What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 20): East of Eden: Limited Series99%Wed 21 Oct
  64. NYC Mayor # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 20-3983%Tue 20 Oct
  65. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Doing Life100%Wed 21 Oct
  66. Fed Decision in October?: No change84%Thu 29 Oct
  67. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  68. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane66%Sat 31 Oct
  69. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  70. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes91%Sat 31 Oct
  71. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No78%Wed 4 Nov
  72. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić69%Sun 25 Oct
  73. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement94%Wed 4 Nov
  74. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%45%Mon 26 Oct
  75. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  76. NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory: Republican 3-6%58%Wed 4 Nov
  77. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  78. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google74%Sat 31 Oct
  79. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)80%Wed 4 Nov
  80. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia69%Sun 25 Oct
  81. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  82. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement89%Wed 4 Nov
  83. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  84. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  85. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  86. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate61%Wed 4 Nov
  87. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova88%Mon 26 Oct
  88. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  89. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  90. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)55%Wed 4 Nov
  91. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)83%Wed 4 Nov
  92. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)89%Wed 4 Nov
  93. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers62%Sat 31 Oct
  94. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  95. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  96. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  97. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?: Yes91%Tue 20 Oct
  98. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  99. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  100. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  101. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  102. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)71%Wed 4 Nov
  103. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)76%Wed 4 Nov
  104. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  105. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change97%Fri 30 Oct
  106. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)94%Wed 4 Nov
  107. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro72%Sun 25 Oct
  108. # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?: 60-80M49%Fri 23 Oct
  109. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  110. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  111. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins78%Wed 4 Nov
  112. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  113. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)72%Wed 4 Nov
  114. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  115. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  116. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes63%Wed 4 Nov
  117. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow76%Tue 27 Oct
  118. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  119. Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona76%Tue 20 Oct
  120. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 81%Wed 4 Nov
  121. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  122. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  123. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: 25 bps increase69%Wed 28 Oct
  124. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  125. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  126. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate66%Wed 4 Nov
  127. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  128. Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  129. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No98%Wed 4 Nov
  130. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  131. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  132. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19024%Wed 4 Nov
  133. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  134. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No72%Tue 3 Nov
  135. MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner: Yoshinobu Yamamoto54%Thu 12 Nov
  136. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?: Yes91%Sun 1 Nov
  137. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA89%Sun 1 Nov
  138. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No69%Sat 31 Oct
  139. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá: Flavio Bolsonaro66%Mon 26 Oct
  140. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 91%Wed 4 Nov
  141. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)88%Wed 4 Nov
  142. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  143. MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year: Adilson Malanda12%Thu 12 Nov
  144. Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo: Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems35%Thu 5 Nov
  145. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi59%Sat 31 Oct
  146. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes70%Sat 31 Oct
  147. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  148. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: No100%Thu 22 Oct
  149. Will Solana dip to $60 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  150. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes93%Sun 15 Nov
  151. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)91%Wed 4 Nov
  152. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change88%Sat 24 Oct
  153. Manchester City FC vs. AEK: Manchester City FC77%Tue 20 Oct
  154. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes78%Sat 31 Oct
  155. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sat 31 Oct
  156. MLB: 2026 AL MVP : Yordan Alvarez89%Fri 13 Nov
  157. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate61%Wed 4 Nov
  158. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  159. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  160. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  161. Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  162. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  163. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No82%Tue 3 Nov
  164. US imports Russian diesel by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  165. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Atlanta Dream55%Sat 31 Oct
  166. "Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?: 150 - 160m93%Sat 31 Oct
  167. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No93%Sun 15 Nov
  168. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  169. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change98%Wed 21 Oct
  170. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: Maura Healey (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  171. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  172. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  173. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club76%Wed 21 Oct
  174. Vermont Governor Election Winner: did not happen76%Wed 4 Nov
  175. Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  176. Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?: No82%Sun 1 Nov
  177. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?: No57%Sun 1 Nov
  178. Minnesota Governor Election Winner: Amy Klobuchar (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  179. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 195%Sun 25 Oct
  180. Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: Yes93%Wed 28 Oct
  181. CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual): Aisha Wahab75%Wed 4 Nov
  182. GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round): Democrat 45-50%60%Wed 4 Nov
  183. Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Iotova 20-30%49%Sun 25 Oct
  184. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  185. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad: Lula67%Mon 26 Oct
  186. Tennessee Senate Election Winner: Bill Hagerty (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  187. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  188. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas: Lula62%Mon 26 Oct
  189. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  190. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  191. Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  192. Oregon Governor Election Winner: Tina Kotek (D)83%Wed 4 Nov
  193. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  194. SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: SSC Napoli73%Tue 20 Oct
  195. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No70%Wed 4 Nov
  196. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  197. Next Premier of British Columbia: Lorne Doerkson77%Sat 24 Oct
  198. Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sat 31 Oct
  199. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%68%Fri 30 Oct
  200. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes67%Wed 4 Nov
  201. Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  202. Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place: Together80%Wed 28 Oct
  203. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  204. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic90%Sun 1 Nov
  205. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?: No81%Sun 1 Nov
  206. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 20?: No93%Tue 20 Oct
  207. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará: Lula80%Mon 26 Oct
  208. Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?: No98%Wed 4 Nov
  209. Rhode Island Governor Election Winner: Helena Foulkes (D)97%Wed 4 Nov
  210. Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  211. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes62%Tue 3 Nov
  212. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  213. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?: No76%Sun 1 Nov
  214. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20?: No99%Tue 20 Oct
  215. Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner: Josh Shapiro (D)97%Wed 4 Nov
  216. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes100%Sat 31 Oct
  217. Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Liverpool FC73%Tue 20 Oct
  218. British Columbia General Election Winner: Conservative87%Sat 24 Oct
  219. Bitcoin price on October 20?: 80,000-82,00064%Tue 20 Oct
  220. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 20?: Yes88%Tue 20 Oct
  221. Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?: No99%Fri 6 Nov
  222. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic92%Sun 1 Nov
  223. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No94%Tue 3 Nov
  224. Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  225. NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  226. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?: Yes83%Wed 21 Oct
  227. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+98%Sun 1 Nov
  228. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No98%Mon 2 Nov
  229. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  230. LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Dplus KIA62%Sat 24 Oct
  231. Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  232. Alaska Senate and Governor Combo: Dems sweep73%Wed 4 Nov
  233. GTA VI released by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  234. FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: FC Cincinnati57%Wed 21 Oct
  235. Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider: Yulia Putintseva54%Tue 27 Oct
  236. Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?: did not happen80%Mon 26 Oct
  237. Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  238. Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  239. When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?: October 1 - 31, 202674%Sat 31 Oct
  240. How many Israeli elections before government formed?: 164%Tue 27 Oct
  241. Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?: Yes70%Wed 21 Oct
  242. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  243. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  244. New Zealand legislative election winner?: Labour Party53%Sun 8 Nov
  245. Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?: Yes58%Sun 1 Nov
  246. Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  247. Alabama Governor Election Winner: Tommy Tuberville (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  248. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?: No release by October 3126%Wed 21 Oct
  249. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google74%Sat 31 Oct
  250. Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?: No release by October 3199%Tue 27 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.