# Spider-Man 4 out-earned Toy Story 5 and Scream 7 combined

*Culture. 76% certain. Monday, 5 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Digger debuted under $17 million and scored just above 40 on Rotten Tomatoes.**

Spider-Man 4 out-earned the combined domestic receipts of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7. The comparison covered Box-Office totals through September 2026. Digger opened to a domestic Weekend below $17 million. Critics gave Digger a Rotten Tomatoes rating above 40 but below the 60-point threshold.

The out-earning result was confirmed on Friday, 2 October. It reflected cumulative domestic earnings up to the end of September. The figure placed Spider-Man 4 ahead of the two sequels combined.

Digger's Opening Weekend Box Office was reported on Sunday, 4 October as under $17 million. The amount fell short of the $17-$20 million range anticipated for a mid-budget release. The modest intake suggested limited audience draw.

Rotten Tomatoes recorded Digger's Tomatometer score on Friday, 2 October as above 40. A follow-up check on Monday, 5 October confirmed the score would not rise to 60. The rating placed the film in the mixed-review category.

With a sub-$17 million debut and a middling critical rating, Digger's performance was modest. The film's Box-Office and review outcomes contrasted with higher-budget franchise releases. No further data were released that week.

## Analysis

Spider-Man 4's ability to out-earn both Toy Story 5 and Scream 7 combined indicates strong domestic demand for the franchise, reinforcing its position as a leading Box-Office driver this year. The result may encourage studios to prioritize sequels and superhero properties when planning release schedules.

The Rotten Tomatoes score above 40 but below 60 signals mixed critical reception, which often correlates with modest audience interest. Together with the low Opening, the data imply that Digger may struggle to achieve sustained Box-Office momentum, potentially affecting its profitability and the perceived viability of comparable genre films.

### Background consulted for the analysis

- [Box Office: 'Spider-Man', Universal Push Summer To $4.76B All-Time Record](https://deadline.com/2026/09/box-office-spider-man-brand-new-day-by-any-means-labor-day-1237068549/)
- [Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Box Office Mojo](https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt22084616/)
- [Spider-Man 4 Finally Beats Star Wars to Break Its Biggest Box Office Record Yet - NewsBreak](https://www.newsbreak.com/superherohype-1749809/4889907363844-spider-man-4-finally-beats-star-wars-to-break-its-biggest-box-office-record-yet)
- [Weekend Preview: SPIDER-MAN Expected to Reign as the Holdover Market Continues - Boxoffice Pro](https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-preview-spider-man-expected-to-reign-as-the-holdover-market-continues/)

## What this was built from

- **Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?**: Yes, 99%; settles Friday, 2 October 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/AdamBraff/through-september-2026-will-spiderm)
- **"Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office**: <17m, 92%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/digger-opening-weekend-box-office)
- **"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office**: 28m+, 76%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/verity-opening-weekend-box-office)
- **Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?**: No, 89%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/digger-rotten-tomatoes-score-20261005)
- **Digger · Rotten Tomatoes score**: Above 40, 86%; settles Friday, 2 October 2026 (futuur). [Market](https://futuur.com/q/241873/digger-rotten-tomatoes-score)