# No leading economist won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics

*Science. 82% certain. Tuesday, 13 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**A woman also did not receive a Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics that year.**

The 2026 Nobel Prize in economic sciences was awarded on Tuesday, 13 October. None of the economists widely regarded as leading figures, Demian Reidel, Luigi Zingales, Matthew Rabin, Lawrence Katz, David Autor, Ernst Fehr, Robert Barro, Richard Blundell, Michael Woodford, Susan Athey, or Ariel Pakes, received the honor. In addition, a woman did not receive a Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics that year.

The announcement confirmed that each of the named economists was not among the laureates.

The separate statement on Monday, 12 October, clarified that no female scientist was honored in the four fields. This applied to Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, and the Economics Prize the outcome left the Nobel roster for 2026 entirely male.

The Nobel committees in Stockholm released the decisions in a series of press releases. The Economics decision followed the Physics, Chemistry, and Medicine announcements. All releases were issued before the December award ceremonies.

The absence of a woman laureate in the highlighted categories marked another year without gender breakthrough. The laureates' identities remain documented by the Nobel organization.

## Analysis

The omission of several high-profile economists from the laureate list suggests that the committee prioritized research directions or methodological approaches not represented by those scholars.

The fact that no woman received a Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics reinforces the persistent gender imbalance that has characterized the awards for decades.

Stakeholders such as universities, funding agencies, and professional societies may feel pressure to address the representation gap, but concrete policy responses are constrained by the autonomous nature of the Nobel committees. Any efforts to promote gender equity will need to operate through broader institutional reforms rather than through the Prize-giving process itself.

Uncertainty remains about the longer-term impact of the 2026 results on nomination practices and on the career trajectories of the excluded economists and female scientists. While the immediate effect is a continuation of the status quo, future award cycles could either perpetuate or alter these patterns, depending on evolving scholarly contributions and advocacy within the global research community.

### Background consulted for the analysis

- [Who will win the 2026 Nobel Prize in economics? : Planet Money : NPR](https://www.npr.org/sections/planet-money/2026/10/07/g-s1-146828/who-will-win-the-2026-nobel-prize-in-economics)
- [2026 Nobel Prize winners | List, Karl Deisseroth, Peter Hegemann, Georg Nagel, Francis Halzen, Henri Kagan, Kenso Soai, Physiology, Medicine, Physics, & Chemistry | Britannica](https://www.britannica.com/topic/2026-Nobel-Prize-winners)
- [Nobel Prizes 2026: What to Know - The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com/article/nobel-prizes-2026.html)
- [Nobel Prize 2026, Winners List, Categories, Dates, Latest Updates](https://vajiramandravi.com/current-affairs/nobel-prize-2026/)
- [Meet the 2026 Nobel Prize Winners](https://time.com/article/2026/10/05/nobel-prize-2026-winners/)

## What this was built from

- **Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 82%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 88%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Luigi Zingales win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 99%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Robert Barro win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 93%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 97%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 95%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 90%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?**: No, 87%; settles Monday, 12 October 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/Terminator2/will-a-woman-win-the-2026-nobel-pri)
- **Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 89%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Demian Reidel win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 99%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 94%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 93%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 95%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)