# Packers defeated Buccaneers while underdogs covered spreads *Sports. 51% certain. Sunday, 4 October 2026* > Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened. **The Colts won over the Commanders and the Texans upset the Cowboys.** Sunday's NFL slate produced a wave of outright victories for a dozen teams. The Indianapolis Colts, Green Bay Packers, Los Angeles Rams, Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings each secured wins. At the same time, several underdogs covered spreads, including the Texans Over the Cowboys and the Bears Over the Jets. Indianapolis defeated Washington by covering a 3.5-point Spread, moving past the Commanders. Green Bay overcame Tampa Bay, covering the 3.5-point Spread and winning the game outright. Los Angeles beat Philadelphia, also covering the Spread Buffalo topped New England, covering a 6.5-point Spread Kansas City triumphed over Las Vegas, securing a win and covering the Spread Baltimore subdued Tennessee, covering a 3.5-point Spread Chicago edged New York, covering the Spread against the Jets. Cincinnati beat Jacksonville, covering the Spread and winning. Dallas fell to Houston, with the Texans covering a 2.5-point Spread New York Giants beat Arizona, covering a 2.5-point Spread San Francisco defeated Denver, covering a 2.5-point Spread The Broncos-49ers matchup produced a total of over 47.5 points. Minnesota also covered a 3.5-point Spread against Miami, reinforcing their win. The Rams' victory over the Eagles added to the list of teams that beat the Spread Overall, the day's results saw multiple underdogs succeed against the Spread while a host of favorites secured outright wins. ## Analysis The collection of wins across both conference divisions suggests a broad level of competitiveness on Sunday, with several traditionally strong teams reaffirming their status while others capitalised on favorable matchups. Underdog victories such as the Texans Over the Cowboys and the Bears Over the Jets indicate that Spread lines did not fully capture the on-field dynamics, potentially reshaping expectations for future matchups involving these clubs. High-scoring outcomes, highlighted by the over-47.5-point total in the Broncos-49ers game, point to offensive potency in certain contests, which could influence coaching strategies and defensive preparations in the weeks ahead. ### Background consulted for the analysis - [Buccaneers have lost an unprecedented 12 consecutive games against the spread - NBC Sports](https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/buccaneers-have-lost-an-unprecedented-12-consecutive-games-against-the-spread) - [Packers vs. Buccaneers (Oct 4, 2026) Live Score - ESPN](https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872968/packers-buccaneers) - [Packers vs. Buccaneers prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, injury update, betting trends, and stats - NBC Sports](https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/news/packers-vs-buccaneers-prediction-odds-expert-picks-qb-matchup-injury-update-betting-trends-and-stats) - [Packers vs Buccaneers Odds, Betting Trends, and Line Movements - 10/03/2026](https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/matchups/buccaneers-vs-packers/) ## What this was built from - **Colts vs. Commanders**: Colts, 63%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ind-was-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Colts (-3.5)**: Colts, 53%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ind-was-2026-10-04) - **Packers vs. Buccaneers**: Packers, 55%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-gb-tb-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Packers (-3.5)**: Buccaneers, 55%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-gb-tb-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)**: Giants, 54%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-nyg-2026-10-04) - **Rams vs. Eagles**: Rams, 61%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-la-phi-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Bills (-6.5)**: Bills, 57%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ne-buf-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Vikings (-3.5)**: Vikings, 53%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-mia-min-2026-10-04) - **Cowboys vs. Texans**: Texans, 68%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-dal-hou-2026-10-04) - **Broncos vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5**: Over, 60%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-den-sf-2026-10-04) - **Spread: 49ers (-2.5)**: 49ers, 54%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-den-sf-2026-10-04) - **Jets vs. Bears**: Bears, 61%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-nyj-chi-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Rams (-3.5)**: Eagles, 51%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-la-phi-2026-10-04) - **Jaguars vs. Bengals**: Bengals, 58%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-jax-cin-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Bengals (-2.5)**: Bengals, 62%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-jax-cin-2026-10-04) - **Dolphins vs. Vikings**: Vikings, 65%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-mia-min-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)**: Packers, 80%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-gb-tb-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Texans (-2.5)**: Texans, 55%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-dal-hou-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Ravens (-3.5)**: Ravens, 61%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ten-bal-2026-10-04) - **Chiefs vs. Raiders**: Chiefs, 62%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-lv-2026-10-04) - **Spread: Raiders (-3.5)**: Chiefs, 56%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-lv-2026-10-04)