# Yashar party won Israel's Legislative election

*Politics. 43% certain. Wednesday, 28 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Gadi Eizenkot was sworn in as Prime Minister while Likud secured 20-24 Knesset seats.**

The Yashar party emerged as the winner of Israel's Legislative election held on Wednesday. Its victory paved the way for Gadi Eizenkot to assume the premiership. Likud finished with a modest bloc of 20 to 24 seats in the 120-member Knesset.

Voters cast their ballots on Wednesday, choosing the Yashar party as the leading force. This result positioned Yashar at the forefront of the new Knesset.

Following the election, Gadi Eizenkot was appointed Prime Minister his appointment was announced on Wednesday after the vote tally.

The Likud party secured between twenty and twenty-four seats in the 120-member assembly. That seat count was disclosed alongside the overall election results on Wednesday. With that allocation, Likud's presence in the Knesset was markedly reduced.

## Analysis

Yashar's victory ends the dominance of the long-standing Likud-led blocs and opens space for new coalition arrangements. The party will now have the first opportunity to negotiate governing partners, shaping the policy agenda for the next term.

Gadi Eizenkot's elevation to Prime Minister brings a former military chief into civilian leadership, which may influence security and diplomatic priorities. His government will need to balance coalition demands while pursuing its own strategic objectives.

Likud's reduced seat count limits its leverage in the Knesset, turning it into a smaller opposition faction. The party will have to consider alliances with other right-wing or centrist groups if it wishes to retain influence over legislation.

### Background consulted for the analysis

- [2022 Israeli legislative election - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Israeli_legislative_election)
- [2026 Israeli legislative election - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Israeli_legislative_election)
- [Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Israeli_legislative_election)
- [Predictmarketcap](https://predictmarketcap.com/events/israeli-legislative-election-winner)

## What this was built from

- **Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?**: Gadi Eizenkot, 53%; settles Wednesday, 28 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election)
- **Israeli Legislative Election Winner**: Yashar, 68%; settles Wednesday, 28 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-winner)
- **Israel Election: Likud # of seats?**: 20-24, 43%; settles Wednesday, 28 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-likud-of-seats)