# Bank of England raised rates as Japan and Australia held steady

*Economics. 84% certain. Thursday, 5 November 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**The Bank of England lifted its rate by 25 basis points; the Bank of Japan and Reserve Bank of Australia left rates unchanged.**

On Thursday 5 November the Bank of England increased its policy rate by 25 basis points. The move followed the Bank of Japan's decision on 30 October to keep its rate unchanged. The Reserve Bank of Australia also left its rate unchanged on Wednesday 4 November.

The Bank of England's increase was set at 25 basis points. It differed from the alternatives of no change, a larger hike or a decrease.

The Bank of Japan left its policy rate unchanged. It ruled out a 25-basis-point rise or a larger tightening.

The Reserve Bank of Australia kept its policy rate unchanged. It rejected options for a 25-basis-point increase, a decrease, or a larger hike.

## Analysis

The Bank of England's modest 25-basis-point hike suggests a careful stance toward inflation while trying to avoid a sharp slowdown in growth. By opting for a small increase rather than a larger move, policymakers appear to be weighing the trade-off between price stability and economic activity.

Japan's decision to hold rates steady reflects its continued reliance on an accommodative policy framework. Maintaining the status quo indicates that inflation pressures remain subdued and that the central Bank sees little need for further tightening at this time.

Australia's unchanged rate points to a view that domestic conditions do not warrant immediate action. Holding the policy rate suggests confidence that current monetary settings are sufficient to support the economy without risking overheating.

## What this was built from

- **Bank of England decision in November?**: 25 bps increase, 92%; settles Thursday, 5 November 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-england-decision-in-november-20260730150602252)
- **Bank of Japan Decision in October?**: No change, 96%; settles Friday, 30 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-japan-decision-in-october-20260731151537)
- **Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November**: No change, 84%; settles Wednesday, 4 November 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-november)